COMPARISON OF WEIGHT MATRIX IN HOTSPOT MODELING IN WEST KALIMANTAN USING THE GSTAR METHOD

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25077/jmua.14.1.31-45.2025

Keywords:

GSTAR, Uniform Weight Matrix, Queen Contiguity

Abstract

This research aims to investigate the usefulness of the Generalized Space- Time Autoregressive (GSTAR) approach in predicting the number of fire hotspots in West Kalimantan Province. Specifically, the study compares the performance of the Queen contiguity method and the uniform weight matrix. Fires in the forests and on the land in West Kalimantan are severe problems that cause harm to the environment and other adverse effects. Data on fire hotspots were collected from four different regencies in West Kalimantan between January 2018 and March 2023 to provide the information used in this study. Compared to the uniform weight matrix, the study results reveal that the Queen contiguity weight matrix produces more accurate results. This is evidenced by the fact that the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) values are lower in the Queen contiguity weight matrix. Based on these findings, more effective techniques for preventing forest and land fires are anticipated to be considered for planning purposes.

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31-01-2025

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Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)

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