Mathematical Model of COVID-19 with Aspects of Community Compliance to Health Protocols

Authors

  • I Putu Winada Gautama Udayana University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6293-1930
  • IGN Lanang Wijayakusuma Udayana University
  • Putu Veri Swastika Udayana University
  • I Made Eka Dwipayana Udayana University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25077/jmua.14.2.154-166.2025

Keywords:

COVID-19, Health Protocols, Mathematical Models, Stability Analysis

Abstract

COVID-19 infection is still a health problem in various countries. Some people who recover from COVID-19 still experience some symptoms. Therefore, it is essential to implement health protocols to minimize transmission of the COVID-19 virus. Based on this, a mathematical model of COVID-19 with aspects of community compliance with health protocols is presented. The population is divided into three subpopulations: the susceptible subpopulation, the exposed subpopulation, and the infected subpopulation. The basic reproduction number, $R_0$, determines whether there are disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. When $R_0$ is less than 1, the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. Conversely, when $R_0$ is greater than 1, the endemic equilibrium point is locally stable. Numerical simulations will demonstrate how COVID-19 spreads, taking into account community adherence to health guidelines. The results of numerical simulations indicate that an increase in public adherence to health protocols leads to a decrease in the number of COVID-19 infections.

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Published

25-05-2025

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