PERMASALAHAN AUTOKORELASI PADA ANALISIS REGRESI LINIER SEDERHANA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25077/jmu.2.2.26-34.2013Abstract
Pada analisis regresi linier sederhana model yang terbentuk harus memenuhibeberapa asumsi yang dikenal dengan asumsi linier klasik. Dalam asumsi linier klasik
dinyatakan bahwa tidak terdapat korelasi antar galat yang disebut autokorelasi. Bila au-
tokorelasi terjadi pada model regresi linier sederhana maka pengaruhnya terlihat pada
penduga parameter yang tidak lagi BLUE (Best Linear Unbiased Estimator), yaitu pen-
duga tidak bias dan linier, namun tidak lagi memiliki ragam yang minimum. Pengaruh
autokorelasi juga dilihat menggunakan simulasi Monte Carlo. Simulasi Monte Carlo
menggunakan nilai bias dan Kuadrat Tengah Galat (KTG) dengan berbagai ukuran
sampel dan koesien autokorelasi yang bervariasi. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan semakin
besar ukuran sampel maka bias dan KTG semakin kecil dan semakin besar nilai koesien
autokorelasi maka bias dan KTG semakin besar.
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