PENERAPAN REGRESI POISSON DAN BINOMIAL NEGATIF DALAM MEMODELKAN JUMLAH KASUS PENDERITA AIDS DI INDONESIA BERDASARKAN FAKTOR SOSIODEMOGRAFI

Authors

  • Aulia Safitri
  • Izzati Rahmi HG
  • Dodi Devianto

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25077/jmu.3.4.58-65.2014

Abstract

Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menentukan model terbaik untuk memodelkan
jumlah kasus AIDS di Indonesia berdasarkan faktor sosiodemografi dengan menggunakan model regresi Poisson dan model regresi Binomial Negatif. Ketika model telah
didapatkan, dilakukan perbandingan antara model regresi Poisson dan model regresi
Binomial Negatif untuk mencari model terbaik yang dapat digunakan. Berdasarkan nilai Log-likelihood, uji Likelihood ratio, AIC dan BIC, model regresi Binomial Negatif
lebih baik digunakan dibandingkan dengan regresi Poisson untuk kasus AIDS menurut
provinsi di Indonesia tahun 2011 dengan satu variabel yang signifikan, yaitu kepadatan
penduduk. Model untuk regresi Binomial Negatif yang dihasilkan adalah:
y = exp(6 .444 + 0 .00018 x 1 ) .

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Published

01-12-2014

Issue

Vol. 3 No. 4 (2014)

Section

Articles

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