PERBANDINGAN MODEL MALTHUS DAN MODEL VERHULST UNTUK ESTIMASI JUMLAH PENDUDUK INDONESIA TAHUN 2000 - 2014
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.25077/jmu.4.1.1-11.2015Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan model dan menghitung estimasijumlah penduduk Indonesia tahun 2000 { 2014 berdasarkan jenis kelamin dan kelompok
umur yang lebih mendekati dengan estimasi jumlah penduduk Indonesia yang dilakukan
oleh BPS karena metode estimasi yang dilakukan oleh BPS Indonesia tersebut tidak dike-
tahui. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari Badan Pusat Statistika (BPS) Su-
matera Barat. Model yang digunakan untuk estimasi jumlah penduduk Indonesia tahun
2000 { 2014 adalah model Malthus (model eksponensial) dan model Verhulst (model lo-
gistik). Dari kedua model dibandingkan dengan galat, yaitu galat terkecil sebagai model
estimasi jumlah penduduk Indonesia yang lebih mendekati dengan hasil estimasi BPS.
Hasil estimasi jumlah penduduk Indonesia dengan model Verhulst yang lebih mendekati
dengan hasil estimasi BPS, sehingga dapat disusun ke dalam bentuk tabel dan dapat
digambarkan ke dalam bentuk piramida penduduk untuk melihat komposisi penduduk
dan distribusi penduduk berdasarkan kelompok umur.
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