PERAMALAN NILAI EKSPOR DI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT DENGAN METODE ARIMA (AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE)

Authors

  • Yessi Oktreza
  • Hazmira Yozza
  • Maiyastri .

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25077/jmu.6.3.16-22.2017

Abstract

Abstrak. Ekspor merupakan penjualan suatu komoditi pada orang asing, bangsa asing
dan negara asing. Nilai ekspor mengacu pada nilai FOB. Nilai Ekspor di Sumatera Barat
mempunyai pengaruh cukup besar terhadap perekonomian Indonesia karena semakin
banyak ekspor maka semakin besar devisa yang diperoleh Negara. Penelitian ini bertujuan
untuk memodelkan nilai ekspor di provinsi Sumatera Barat. Metode peramalan
yang digunakan adalah ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Adapun
data yang digunakan adalah nilai ekspor di provinsi Sumatera Barat periode tahun
2010-2015. Model peramalan yang diperoleh adalah model ARIMA(3,10).
Kata Kunci: Deret Waktu, ARIMA, Nilai Ekspor

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Published

03-11-2017

Issue

Vol. 6 No. 3 (2017)

Section

Articles

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